publications
(you can look also at my Google Scholar profile)
preprints
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
2012
2011
2009
2008
2007
preprints
- Dynamics of new strain emergence on a temporal network, S Chakraborty, X R Hoffmann, M G Leguia, F Nolet, E Ortiz, O Prunas, L Zavojanni, E Valdano, C Poletto (2018) [output of the workshop Complexity 72h, 2018]
2019
- Host contact dynamics shapes richness and dominance of pathogen strains, F Pinotti, É Fleury, D Guillemot, P-Y Böelle, C Poletto, PLoS Computational Biology 15(5): e1006530 (2019).
- Mechanisms for lyssavirus persistence in non-synanthropic bats in Europe: insights from a modeling study, D Colombi, J Serra Cobo, R Metras, A Apolloni, C Poletto, M Lopez-Roig, H Bourhy, V Colizza, Scientific Reports, 9, 537 (2019)
2018
- Shifting patterns of seasonal influenza epidemics, P Coletti, C Poletto, C Turbelin, T Blanchon, V Colizza, Scientific Reports 8, 12786 (2018)
- Network-based assessment of the vulnerability of Italian regions to bovine brucellosis, A Darbon, E Valdano, C Poletto, A Giovannini, L Savini, L Candeloro, V Colizza Preventive Veterinary Medicine 158, 25-34 (2018)
- The potential value of crowdsourced surveillance systems in supplementing sentinel influenza networks: the case of France, C Guerrisi, C Turbelin, C Souty, C Poletto, T Blanchon, T Hanslik, I Bonmarin, D Levy-Bruhl, V Colizza, Eurosurveillance, 23(25):pii=1700337 (2018)
- Improving early epidemiological assessment of emerging Aedes-transmitted epidemics using historical data, J Riou, C Poletto, P-Y Boëlle, PLoS Neglected Tropical Diseases 12(6): e0006526 (2018)
- The impact of regular school closure on seasonal influenza epidemics: a data-driven spatial transmission model for Belgium G De Luca, K Van Kerckhove, P Coletti, C Poletto, N Bossuyt, N Hens, V Colizza BMC Infectious Diseases 18:29 (2018)
- Epidemic threshold in continuous-time evolving networks E Valdano, M Re Fiorentin, C Poletto, and V Colizza, Physics Review Letters 120, 068302 (2018)
2017
- Human mobility networks and persistence of rapidly mutating pathogens, A. Aleta, A. N. S. Hisi, S. Meloni, C. Poletto, V. Colizza, Y. Moreno, Royal Society Open Science 4(3):160914 2017
- A comparative analysis of Chikungunya and Zika transmission, J. Riou, C. Poletto, P.Y. Boëlle, Epidemics 19 2017
2016
- Recalibrating disease parameters for increasing realism in modeling epidemics in closed settings, L. Bioglio, M. Génois, C.L. Vestergaard, C. Poletto, A. Barrat, V. Colizza, BMC Infectious Diseases 16:676 (2016)
- Risk of MERS importation and onward transmission: a systematic review and analysis of cases reported to WHO, C. Poletto, P.Y. Boëlle, V. Colizza, BMC Infectious Diseases 16(1) 448 (2016)
- Real-Time Assessment of the International Spreading Risk Associated with the 2014 West African Ebola Outbreak, Pastore-Piontti, Q. Zhang, M. F. C. Gomes, L. Rossi, C. Poletto, V. Colizza, D. L. Chao, I. M. Longini, M. E. Halloran, A. Vespignani, book chapter in Mathematical and Statistical Modeling for Emerging and Re-emerging Infectious Diseases, G. Chowell, J. M. Hyman (editors), Springer (2016)
- Impact of spatially constrained sampling of temporal contact networks on the evaluation of the epidemic risk, C. Vestergaard, E. Valdano, M. Génois, C. Poletto, V. Colizza, A. Barrat, Eur J Appl Math doi:10.1017/S0956792516000309 (2016)
- Quantifying spatiotemporal heterogeneity of MERS-CoV transmission in the Middle East region: a combined modelling approach, C. Poletto, V. Colizza, P.Y. Boëlle, Epidemics 15 1-9 (2016)
2015
- Infection propagator approach to compute epidemic thresholds on temporal networks: impact of immunity and of limited temporal resolution, E. Valdano, C. Poletto, V. Colizza, the European Physical Journal B, 88: 341 (2015)
- Analytical computation of the epidemic threshold on temporal networks E. Valdano, L. Ferreri, C. Poletto, V. Colizza, Physics Review X 5 021005 (2015)
- Predicting epidemic risk from past temporal contact data E. Valdano, C. Poletto, A. Giovannini, D. Palma, L. Savini, V. Colizza, PLoS Computational Biology 11(3): e1004152 (2015)
- Characterising two-pathogen competition in spatially structured environments C. Poletto, S. Meloni, A. Van Metre, V. Colizza, Y. Moreno, A. Vespignani. Scietific Reports 5, 7895 (2015)
2014
- Assessing the impact of travel restrictions on international spread of the 2014 West African Ebola epidemic. C. Poletto, M. F. C. Gomes, A. Pastore y Piontti, L. Rossi, L. Bioglio, D. L. Chao, I. M. Longini, M. E. Halloran, V. Colizza, A. Vespignani. Eurosurveillance 19:42 (2014)
- The representativeness of a European multi-center network for influenza-like-illness participatory surveillance. P. Cantarelli, M. Debin, C. Turbelin, C. Poletto, T. Blanchon, A. Falchi, T. Hanslik, I. Bonmarin, D. Levy-Bruhl, A. Micheletti, D. Paolotti, A. Vespignani, J. Edmunds, K. Eames, R. Smallenburg, C. Koppeschaar, A. O Franco, V. Faustino, A. Carnahan, M. Rehn, V. Colizza. BMC Public Health 14:1 984 (2014)
- Local and regional spread of chikungunya fever in the Americas. S. Cauchemez, M. Ledrans, C. Poletto, P. Quenel, H. de Valk, V. Colizza, P-Y. Boëlle. Eurosurveillance 19:28 (2014)
- Assessment of the middle east respiratory syndrome coronavirus (MERS-CoV) epidemic in the middle east and risk of international spread using a novel maximum likelihood analysis approach, C. Poletto, C. Pelat, D. Levy-Bruhl, Y. Yazdanpanah, P-Y. Boëlle, V. Colizza, Eurosurveillance 19:23 (2014)
- Metapopulation epidemic models with heterogeneous mixing and travel behaviour A. Apolloni, C. Poletto, J. J. Ramasco, P. Jensen, V. Colizza. Theoretical Biology and Medical Modelling 11 (1), 3 (2014)
2013
- Evaluating the feasibility and participants’ representativeness of an online nationwide surveillance system for influenza in France. M. Debin, C. Turbelin, T. Blanchon, I. Bonmarin, A. Falchi, T. Hanslik, D. Levy-Bruhl, C. Poletto, V. Colizza. PLoS ONE 8(9) (2013)
- Human mobility and time spent at destination: Impact on spatial epidemic spreading. C. Poletto, M. Tizzoni, V. Colizza. Journal of Theoretical Biology 338 41-58 (2013)
- Host mobility drives pathogen competition in spatially structured populations. C. Poletto, S. Meloni, V. Colizza, Y. Moreno, A. Vespignani. PLoS Computational Biology 9(8): e1003169 (2013)
- Age-specific contacts and travel patterns in the spatial spread of 2009 H1N1 influenza pandemic. A. Apolloni, C. Poletto, V. Colizza. BMC Infectious Diseases 13:176 (2013)
2012
- Real-time numerical forecast of global epidemic spreading: case study of 2009 A/H1N1pdm. M. Tizzoni, P. Bajardi, C. Poletto, J. J. Ramasco, D. Balcan, B. Goncalves, N. Perra, V. Colizza, A. Vespignani. BMC Medicine 10:165 (2012)
- Heterogeneous length of stay of hosts’ movements and spatial epidemic spread. C. Poletto, M. Tizzoni, V. Colizza. Scientific Reports 2:476 (2012)
2011
- Human Mobility Networks, Travel Restrictions, and the Global Spread of 2009 H1N1 Pandemic. P. Bajardi, C. Poletto, J. J. Ramasco, M. Tizzoni, V. Colizza, A. Vespignani. PLoS ONE 6(1): e16591 (2011)
2009
- Modeling the critical care demand and antibiotics resources needed during the Fall 2009 wave of influenza A(H1N1) pandemic. D. Balcan, V. Colizza, A. C. Singer, C. Chouaid, H. Hu, B. Goncalves, P. Bajardi, C. Poletto, J. J. Ramasco, N. Perra, M. Tizzoni, D. Paolotti, W. Van den Broeck, A. J. Valleron, A. Vespignani. PLoS Currents Influenza, 2009 Dic 4:RRN1133
- Estimate of Novel Influenza A/H1N1 cases in Mexico at the early stage of the pandemic with a spatially structured epidemic model. V. Colizza, A. Vespignani, N. Perra, C. Poletto, B. Goncalves, H. Hu, D. Balcan, D. Paolotti, W. Van den Broeck, M. Tizzoni, P. Bajardi, J. J. Ramasco. PLoS Currents Influenza, 2009 Nov 11:RRN1129
- Modeling vaccination campaigns and the Fall/Winter 2009 activity of the new A(H1N1) influenza in the Northern Hemisphere. P. Bajardi, C. Poletto, D. Balcan, H. Hu, B. Goncalves, J. J. Ramasco, D. Paolotti, N. Perra, M. Tizzoni, W. Van den Broeck, V. Colizza, A. Vespignani. Emerging Health Threats Journal, 2: e11 (2009)
- Seasonal transmission potential and activity peaks of the new influenza A(H1N1): a Monte Carlo likelihood analysis based on human mobility. D. Balcan, H. Hu, B. Goncalves, P. Bajardi, C. Poletto, J. J. Ramasco, D. Paolotti, N. Perra, M. Tizzoni, W. Van den Broeck, V. Colizza, A. Vespignani. BMC Medicine, 7:45 (2009)
2008
- Emergence of secondary motifs in tube like-polymer in a solvent. C. Poletto, A. Giacometti, A. Trovato, J. B. Banavar, A. Maritan. Phys. Rev. E, 77, 061804 (2008)
2007
- Structural motifs of biomolecules. J. B. Banavar, T. H. Hoang, J. H. Maddocks, A. Maritan, C. Poletto, A. Stasiak, A. Trovato. Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. USA, 104 (2007)